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May 16, 2022
Wednesday’s NHL slate will be the smallest of the playoffs to date as there are only three games on the schedule after the Colorado Avalanche swept th...

Wednesday’s NHL slate will be the smallest of the playoffs to date as there are only three games on the schedule after the Colorado Avalanche swept the Nashville Predators.

The pregame narrative: The New York Rangers face elimination after the Pittsburgh Penguins torched them 7-2 on Monday to take a commanding 3-1 series lead. The Calgary Flames and Dallas Stars are tied 2-2 and head back to Alberta in what’s been a tight-checking series, while the Florida Panthers will look to take a 3-2 lead at home against the Washington Capitals.

Check out our top NHL playoff picks for May 11.

NHL playoff picks overview

  • Stars vs. Flames under 5.5 goals (-124)
  • Rangers 60-minute moneyline (+120)
  • Panthers -1.5 goals (+108)

NHL playoff picks

Best bet: Stars vs. Flames under 5.5 goals (-124)

If you’re expecting Wednesday’s nightcap between Dallas and Calgary to be one that keeps you up late with lots of goals, you’ll be disappointed.

The Stars and Flames want to play low-scoring, low-event hockey and they’ve done just that.

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The two squads have combined for only 14 goals through the first four games of the series. That number drops to just three goals in the two games at Scotiabank Saddledome, where Wednesday’s contest will be played.

There are two reasons why the under on this total has hit three times already. The first has been Calgary’s success at keeping Dallas to the perimeter. The Stars’ 69 scoring chances at 5v5 are the second-fewest of any team in the playoffs, according to Natural Stat Trick.

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The second reason has been the outstanding play of Jake Oettinger.

The 23-year-old’s .960 save percentage is the best mark of any goalie in the playoffs who has faced more than 10 shots. Oettinger was even brilliant in a 4-1 loss in Game 4 as he turned aside 50 of 53 shots.

Jake Oettinger has been spectacular for the Dallas Stars in the playoffs. Photo by Tony Gutierrez/AP.

With the Flames benefitting from having last change at home and Oettinger continuing to be stellar, the under will certainly be in play on Wednesday.

Key stat: Both Dallas (No. 5) and Calgary (10) are top 10 in the NHL in cashing unders.

Read more: Glossary of key sports betting terms

Quick picks

Rangers 60-minute moneyline (+120): New York returns home after losing a pair of games on the road in Pittsburgh. The Rangers’ 7-2 Game 4 loss was as embarrassing of an effort as there has been this postseason. The team gave up 20 high-danger chances, which is tied for the most in a non-overtime game during the playoffs.

Head coach Gerard Gallant has confirmed that Igor Shesterkin (10 goals allowed in the last two games) will start for New York. Expect the Rangers to come out strong at home after doing their star goalie no favours the last time out.

Panthers -1.5 goals (+108): Florida leads Washington in Corsi, expected goals, scoring chances and high-danger chances. Despite that, this series is tied 2-2. The last time the Cats were at home they thoroughly outplayed the Capitals en route to a 5-1 victory.

Expect the Panthers to ride the momentum of their late-game heroics in Monday’s overtime win into Game 5.

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Odds courtesy of Sportradar, via NorthStar Bets, as of 6:08 p.m. ET on 05/10/2022.

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